Service

Better predicting

Better predicting

Predicting looks easier than it actually is. Of course, much depends on luck but at the end of the season, the first ones are mostly the best ones. Predicting is not gambling!

By the way: If you click on your name in the overview and then on "Statistics" at the bottom of the page, you will not only receive valuable information on your prediction behaviour, but also on the competition itself.

Of course, the prediction behaviour depends on the individual rule settings of the prediction community, but there are a few basic principles you should bear in mind.

Because with a few tricks, you can quickly increase your yield:

Advice 1: Predict more home wins

Home wins are the most common ones in football leagues. The 12th man has indeed a role to play. Statistically, the home advantage reads: In the Bundesliga, there is between 43% and 49% of home wins. Predicting the home team cannot be that bad.

Advice 2: Tied matchs mainly end-up 1:1

A draw has a close to 50% chance of ending up as 1:1. If you decice to predict a tie, you may want to choose 1:1. This will increase chances for a good result.

Advice 3: Home win with a one goal difference

Home wins often end with a difference of just one goal. A 2:0 bet is therefore riskier than a 2:1 bet, even though a 2:0 is a very common final score, you are less likely to get extra points for the correct goal difference.

Advice 4: Trust the favourite more often

Many predict in a too risky way. They always hope a for a sensational underdog win. Of course you can put in a risky prediction from time to time but a good choice has to be made. Predicting the favourite team while it loses makes you lose points, but most of the others will too. It is all about finding the right balance.

Advice 5: Current form

Most of the time, a look in the tables helps to decide who is the favourite and who is the challenger. Sometimes, a look in the last 6-8 matchdays ranking is better. On Kicktipp the table view can be filtered accordingly. Another look at the home and away rankings may also give some valuable input.

Do you need further help?